Sunday, January 30, 2011

Egypt

The past few days and weeks have seen the Arab world erupt in protests against autocratic government. First in Tunisia, where people rose up against their government and ousted a bad leader because of poor living conditions and inadequate protections of freedoms. Then in Cairo, where thousands, mainly young people, have taken to the streets in protest of a leader who has led too long with too little to show for it. The sentiment behind the protests in Tunisia and Egypt have spread now to Yemen and Jordan, and solidarity protests have been held throughout the world.

The protests in Egypt have put the U.S. government between a rock and a hard place. It's easy to see the irony in the American government's predicament. President Mubarak has been an important U.S. ally in the Middle East, and Egypt is the largest recipient of American foreign aid behind Israel. But President Mubarak is also a dictator who hides behind a transparent guise of democracy. His 30 years in power recently have been marked with obviously fraudulent elections and a citizenry completely dissatisfied with his rule. The American government now--more openly and uncomfortably than ever--has to negotiate its position between promoting principles of democracy and protecting its interests in the Middle East. Surprisingly--and luckily for the U.S. government--the most powerful political force in Egypt, the Muslim Brotherhood, is not the driving force behind the recent protests. But if the Mubarak regime were toppled, it is likely that the Muslim Brotherhood could fill the resulting power vacuum. This would not bode well for U.S. interests in the region given the anti-American alignment of the Brotherhood.

I am glad that the Obama Administration has chosen not to come out in strong support of the Mubarak regime in face of the popular uprising. I can only imagine the intense conversations between President Obama and his advisers concerning how to respond to the chaos. I hope that Obama will fully support the popular will of the Egyptian people in this time, recognizing that the U.S. has talked the talk, but now needs to walk the walk of being a beacon of democracy. This moment is undoubtedly an important one for Egypt, the Arab world, and America...it will be interesting to watch how these events continue to unfold.